Monday, August 12, 2019

QQQ and SPY Closing the gap from last Monday 08/05, both below 10d sma. IWM and DIA leading the move down breaking the gap support.



The volatility index (VIX) moved up 17.36%.
Lower highs formed in all four indices; no lower lows formed as of today.
Next couple of days are critical to confirm or disappoint Bulls and Bears.
My preference is still with the bear case, which could confirm within the next couple of days.  With the exception of QQQ, the other three have broken trendline support.

VIX :    21.09  +17.36%                              
/CL :  54.78  0.94%                                
TLT :   142.97  +2.08%                                
                                   
SPY Market Forecast  39.52  Short-term Defensive  and pointing up and in the neutral zone              
    6-months  Up                              
    10-days  Down                              
    3-days  Sideways                              
                                   
Indices                                    
Up        NONE                           
Down    QQQ :   184.35  -1.15%   ; SPY:   288.12  -1.20%  ;  IWM:   148.67  -1.29%  ;  DIA:   259.44  -1.42%          
                                   
Nasdaq Above 30MA   19                              
AMGN ,  INCY ,  BKNG ,  WDC ,  JBHT ,  XEL ,  VRSK ,  CTAS ,  TTWO ,  FISV ,  ADP ,  GOOG ,  CELG ,  GOOGL ,  HAS ,  KLAC ,  SBUX ,  VRTX ,  AMD
                                    
                                    
Stocks to watch on   Tuesday                              
Nasdaq100  xsing above30       1                            
INCY                                    
                                   
Nasdaq100  xsing below30  13                            
TXN ,  MDLZ ,  SIRI ,  MSFT ,  EBAY ,  INTU ,  NXPI ,  MYL ,  ATVI ,  ROST ,  WLTW ,  SYMC ,  MELI            
                                    
NDX Leaders
AMGN  +4.86% ,  LBTYA  +2.04% ,  LBTYK  +1.86%
DJIA Leaders
MRK  +0.22% ,  JNJ  -0.11% ,  VZ  -0.16%                          
SPX Leaders
AMGN  +4.86% ,  SO  +0.62% ,  MRK  +0.22% ,  EXC  0.00%                      
                                   
Sectors
    All 11 sectors closed lower led by      XLRE : 38.44   -0.08%     and  XLU      60.75 -0.20%                                
    XLRE / XLU closing above 30d. SMA      - 9 Sectors closed below.                    

Uptrend:  XLK ,  XLY ,  XLRE ,  XLP                          
Neutral:   XLU ,  XLB ,  XLV ,  XLF ,  XLI ,  XLC                      
Downtrend:  XLE                                
                                   
Breath:     Weakened as decliners led    NYSE:     866   2056    and  decliners led  Nasdaq:   1010    2101            
                                   
NDX - MACD Crossover:  LBTYK ,  INCY ,  IDXX ,  ALGN                        


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